Nations League
Lithuania
Mar 20, 2024 11.00pm
Belarus

Lithuania vs Belarus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

All competitions

Belarus

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Belarus win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw has a probability of 26% and a win for Lithuania has a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Lithuania win it is 1-0 (7.99%).

Result

Lithuania 21.57% ▼ (-0.30)
Draw 25.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Belarus 52.48% ▲ (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.36% ▼ (-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.7% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 57.29% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 21.87% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 78.13% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 4.5 9.43% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 90.57% ▲ (+0.09)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5 58.1% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 0.5 41.89% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 1.5 21.65% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 78.34% ▲ (+0.36)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5 78.07% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 21.92% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 44.8% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 55.19% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Lithuania 21.57%
Draw 25.95%
Belarus 52.46%
Lithuania
1-0 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 21.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 25.95%
Belarus
0-1 @ 13.93% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 10.57% ▲ (+0.11)
1-2 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 52.46%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Belarus
Nov 16, 2021 12.00am
Lithuania
Nations League
Belarus
Nov 15, 2020 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadyen Dynama
Lithuania
  • Evgeni Yablonski 5' goal
  • Max Ebong 20' goal
  • Roman Yuzepchukh 24' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Justas Lasickas 30'
  • yellowcard Edvinas Girdvainis 33'
Nations League
Lithuania
Oct 11, 2020 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Vilniaus LFF stadionas
Belarus
  • Arvydas Novikovas 7' goal
  • Donatas Kazlauskas 57' yellowcard
  • Egidijus Vaitkunas 59' yellowcard
  • Karolis Laukzemis 75' goal
  • Martynas Dapkus 88' yellowcard
  • Modestas Vorobjovas 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Valeriy Gromyko 20'
  • yellowcard Max Ebong 38'
  • goal Vitali Lisakovich 59'
  • goal Aleksandr Sachivko 66'

Form Data

Cyprus 1 - 0 Lithuania
Montenegro 2 - 0 Lithuania
Lithuania 2 - 2 Hungary
Bulgaria 0 - 2 Lithuania
Lithuania 1 - 3 Serbia
Lithuania 2 - 2 Montenegro
Kosovo 0 - 1 Belarus
Belarus 1 - 0 Andorra
Switzerland 3 - 3 Belarus
Belarus 0 - 0 Romania
Israel 1 - 0 Belarus
Andorra 0 - 0 Belarus