UEFA Nations League

Nations League | Relegation Playoff | 1st Leg

Mar 20, 2024 at 11pm UK

LFF Stadium, Vilnius

Lithuania
C-C
Belarus

(agg: -)

Coverage of the Nations League Relegation Playoff clash between Lithuania and Belarus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

Last Game: Gibraltar 0-1 Lithuania
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Belarus vs. Lithuania
Saturday, March 23 at 11pm in Nations League

Belarus

All competitions

Last Game: Belarus 0-2 Montenegro
Thursday, March 21 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Belarus vs. Lithuania
Saturday, March 23 at 11pm in Nations League

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	10	11	22
2	Switzerland	10	11	17
3	Israel	10	0	15
4	Belarus	10	-5	12
5	Kosovo	10	0	11
6	Andorra	10	-17	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Belarus win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw has a probability of 26% and a win for Lithuania has a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Lithuania win it is 1-0 (7.99%).

Result
Lithuania	Draw	Belarus
21.57% ( -0.3)	25.95% ( -0.03)	52.48% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 45.36% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.7% (

-0.17)

57.29% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.87% (

-0.14)

78.13% (

0.14)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.1% (

-0.41)

41.89% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.65% (

-0.35)

78.34% (

0.35)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.07% (

0.07)

21.92% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.8% (

0.1)

55.19% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Lithuania 21.57%

Belarus 52.46%

Draw 25.95%

Lithuania	Draw	Belarus
1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.13% Total : 21.57%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 13.93% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 10.57% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.35% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 52.46%