Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 75.13%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 7.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.15%) and 3-0 (11.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.