Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Nicolae Stanciu 17' goal
  • Andrei Burca 19' goal
  • goal Vladislav Morozov 86'

Romania vs Belarus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Romania

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 25, 2023 7.45pm
Andorra 0 - 2 Romania

Belarus

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 25, 2023 5.00pm
Belarus 0 - 5 Switzerland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 14.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.31%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result

Romania 62.93% (-0.09)
Draw 22.81% (+0.23)
Belarus 14.26% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.37% (-0.90)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.32% (-1.05)
Under 2.5 55.68% (+1.05)
Over 3.5 23.17% (-0.86)
Under 3.5 76.83% (+0.87)
Over 4.5 10.22% (-0.54)
Under 4.5 89.78% (+0.54)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5 82.74% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 17.26% (+0.41)
Over 1.5 52.42% (-0.72)
Under 1.5 47.58% (+0.72)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5 50% (-0.84)
Under 0.5 50% (+0.84)
Over 1.5 15.34% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 84.66% (+0.59)

Score analysis

Romania 62.92%
Draw 22.8%
Belarus 14.26%
Romania
1-0 @ 15.16% (+0.42)
2-0 @ 13.31% (+0.18)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 7.8% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.13)
4-0 @ 3.43% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.10)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 62.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.5% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.63% (+0.35)
2-2 @ 3.2% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.8%
Belarus
0-1 @ 5.98% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 3.64% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 14.26%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Nov 11, 2020 5.00pm
5
3
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Bogdan Mitrea 11' goal
  • Razvan Marin 20' goal
  • Ionut Nedelcearu 31' goal
  • George Puscas 44' goal
  • Ionut Nedelcearu 55' goal
  • Eric Bicfalvi 71' yellowcard
  • Bogdan Mitrea 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nikita Naumov 19'
  • goal Jury Kendysh 63'
  • goal Ivan Bakhar 80'
  • yellowcard Ivan Bakhar 90'+1'
  • goal Vladislav Klimovich 90'+2'