Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Belarus national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2023 at 5pm UK
 
Switzerland national football team

Belarus
0 - 5
Switzerland

FT(HT: 0-3)
Steffen (4', 17', 29'), Xhaka (62'), Amdouni (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Belarus and Switzerland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belarus

All competitions
Last Game: Oman 2-0 Belarus
Sunday, November 20 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Switzerland

All competitions
Last Game: Portugal 6-1 Switzerland
Tuesday, December 6 at 7pm in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 24.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Belarus win it was 1-0 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.

Result
BelarusDrawSwitzerland
24.61% (-0.064 -0.06)25.25% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)50.13% (0.11 0.11)
Both teams to score 50.69% (0.07 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.98% (0.124 0.12)52.02% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24% (0.105 0.11)73.76% (-0.104 -0.1)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.97% (0.011999999999993 0.01)36.03% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.19% (0.012 0.01)72.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (0.095999999999989 0.1)20.76% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.6% (0.152 0.15)53.4% (-0.15 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Belarus 24.61%
    Switzerland 50.12%
    Draw 25.25%
BelarusDrawSwitzerland
1-0 @ 7.64% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.13% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.33% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 24.61%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 11.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.94% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.84% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.9% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 50.12%

How you voted: Belarus vs Switzerland

Belarus
18.7%
Draw
7.7%
Switzerland
73.6%
91