Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 24.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Belarus win it was 1-0 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.