Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Switzerland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Israel national football team

Switzerland
3 - 0
Israel

Vargas (39'), Amdouni (47'), Widmer (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Switzerland and Israel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Switzerland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Belarus 0-5 Switzerland
Saturday, March 25 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Israel

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Israel 1-1 Kosovo
Saturday, March 25 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Israel had a probability of 12.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Israel win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.

Result
SwitzerlandDrawIsrael
68.7% (0.262 0.26)19.28% (-0.146 -0.15)12.01% (-0.118 -0.12)
Both teams to score 45.5% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.41% (0.33499999999999 0.33)46.58% (-0.33799999999999 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.14% (0.315 0.31)68.85% (-0.31700000000001 -0.32)
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.52% (0.175 0.17)12.47% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.56% (0.36 0.36)38.44% (-0.363 -0.36)
Israel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.99% (0.009999999999998 0.01)48.01% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.76% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)83.24% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Switzerland 68.7%
    Israel 12.01%
    Draw 19.28%
SwitzerlandDrawIsrael
2-0 @ 12.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 12.46% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 9% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.61% (0.041 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.69% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.44% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.95% (0.037 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 68.7%
1-1 @ 9.15% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 19.28%
0-1 @ 4.39% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-2 @ 3.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 12.01%

How you voted: Switzerland vs Israel

Switzerland
80.4%
Draw
9.1%
Israel
10.5%
143