Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Belarus national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Szusza Ferenc Stadion
Israel national football team

Belarus
1 - 2
Israel

Ebong (16')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Weissman (85' pen.), Gluh (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Belarus and Israel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belarus

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Romania 2-1 Belarus
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Israel

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Switzerland 3-0 Israel
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Israel would win this match.

Result
BelarusDrawIsrael
27.09% (-2.226 -2.23)26.12% (-0.491 -0.49)46.79% (2.716 2.72)
Both teams to score 50.24% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (0.73 0.73)53.66% (-0.73 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85% (0.61 0.61)75.15% (-0.61 -0.61)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (-1.352 -1.35)34.82% (1.349 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (-1.452 -1.45)71.56% (1.452 1.45)
Israel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (1.612 1.61)22.91% (-1.614 -1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (2.322 2.32)56.68% (-2.323 -2.32)
Score Analysis
    Belarus 27.09%
    Israel 46.78%
    Draw 26.12%
BelarusDrawIsrael
1-0 @ 8.42% (-0.568 -0.57)
2-1 @ 6.54% (-0.368 -0.37)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.477 -0.48)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.221 -0.22)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.233 -0.23)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 27.09%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 11.75% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 9.14% (0.264 0.26)
0-2 @ 8.66% (0.554 0.55)
1-3 @ 4.49% (0.33 0.33)
0-3 @ 4.25% (0.456 0.46)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.092 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.65% (0.193 0.19)
0-4 @ 1.57% (0.233 0.23)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 46.78%

How you voted: Belarus vs Israel

Belarus
19.1%
Draw
8.5%
Israel
72.3%
47