Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Belarus national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Szusza Ferenc Stadion
Kosovo national football team

Belarus
2 - 1
Kosovo

Morozov (73'), Ebong (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Muriqi (87' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Belarus and Kosovo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belarus

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Belarus 1-2 Israel
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Kosovo

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Kosovo 0-0 Romania
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Kosovo had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Kosovo win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Belarus in this match.

Result
BelarusDrawKosovo
43.93% (19.909 19.91)21.71% (-4.546 -4.55)34.36% (-15.367 -15.37)
Both teams to score 69.78% (22.568 22.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.16% (26.439 26.44)29.83% (-26.443 -26.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.01% (26.32 26.32)50.99% (-26.323 -26.32)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (24.425 24.43)14.5% (-24.43 -24.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.5% (33.152 33.15)42.49% (-33.158 -33.16)
Kosovo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (4.307 4.31)18.38% (-4.312 -4.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (6.83 6.83)49.52% (-6.835 -6.84)
Score Analysis
    Belarus 43.93%
    Kosovo 34.36%
    Draw 21.71%
BelarusDrawKosovo
2-1 @ 8.42% (2.585 2.59)
3-1 @ 5.42% (3.584 3.58)
1-0 @ 5.15% (-3.188 -3.19)
2-0 @ 4.97% (1.037 1.04)
3-2 @ 4.59% (3.229 3.23)
3-0 @ 3.2% (1.962 1.96)
4-1 @ 2.62% (2.183 2.18)
4-2 @ 2.22% (1.895 1.9)
4-0 @ 1.54% (1.252 1.25)
4-3 @ 1.25% (1.092 1.09)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.928 0.93)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 8.72% (-3.643 -3.64)
2-2 @ 7.13% (2.805 2.81)
0-0 @ 2.66% (-6.169 -6.17)
3-3 @ 2.59% (1.919 1.92)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 7.38% (-1.783 -1.78)
0-1 @ 4.51% (-8.587 -8.59)
1-3 @ 4.17% (-0.364 -0.36)
2-3 @ 4.03% (1.887 1.89)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-5.892 -5.89)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-2.645 -2.65)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.085 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.71% (0.912 0.91)
3-4 @ 1.1% (0.848 0.85)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.867 -0.87)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.36%

How you voted: Belarus vs Kosovo

Belarus
23.9%
Draw
19.6%
Kosovo
56.5%
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