Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Bloomfield Stadium

Israel
1 - 0
Belarus

Kanichowsky (90+3')
Peretz (56'), Turgeman (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Savitskiy (90+7'), Volkov (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Israel and Belarus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Israel

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Romania 1-1 Israel
Saturday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	5	9	11
2	Romania	5	3	9
3	Israel	5	-1	8
4	Kosovo	5	-1	4
5	Belarus	5	-6	4
6	Andorra	5	-4	2

Belarus

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Andorra 0-0 Belarus
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	5	9	11
2	Romania	5	3	9
3	Israel	5	-1	8
4	Kosovo	5	-1	4
5	Belarus	5	-6	4
6	Andorra	5	-4	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 61.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 15.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Israel in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Israel.

Result
Israel	Draw	Belarus
61.08% ( 0.16)	23.31% ( 0)	15.61% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 42.92% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.75% (

-0.27)

55.25% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.52% (

-0.22)

76.48% (

0.22)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.23% (

-0.04)

17.76% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.54% (

-0.07)

48.46% (

0.07)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.2% (

-0.39)

47.8% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.91% (

-0.29)

83.08% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Israel 61.07%

Belarus 15.61%

Draw 23.31%

Israel	Draw	Belarus
1-0 @ 14.67% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 12.67% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 61.07%	1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.53% Total : 23.31%	0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 15.61%