We said: Israel 2-0 Andorra
They may have only scored one Group I goal before a late double in their third fixture, but Israel offer a varied attacking threat and should have the means to break down an obdurate Andorra side. The visitors have been able to test much larger nations of late, but they will surely come up short on this occasion.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Andorra had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Andorra win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Israel in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Israel.
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