Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 18, 2023 at 5pm UK

Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht

Belarus
1 - 0
Andorra

Laptev (83')
Laptev (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rebes (45+1'), Martinez (70'), Vieira (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Belarus and Andorra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belarus

All competitions

Last Game: Switzerland 3-3 Belarus
Sunday, October 15 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	8	12	16
2	Romania	8	9	16
3	Israel	8	-1	12
4	Kosovo	8	1	10
5	Belarus	8	-7	6
6	Andorra	8	-14	2

Andorra

All competitions

Last Game: Romania 4-0 Andorra
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	8	12	16
2	Romania	8	9	16
3	Israel	8	-1	12
4	Kosovo	8	1	10
5	Belarus	8	-7	6
6	Andorra	8	-14	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Belarus in this match.

Result
Belarus	Draw	Andorra
55.88% ( -2.42)	23.61% ( 0.73)	20.5% ( 1.68)

Both teams to score 50.59% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.38% (

-0.78)

49.62% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.36% (

-0.71)

71.64% (

0.71)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.41% (

-1.14)

17.59% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.85% (

-2.01)

48.15% (

2.01)

Andorra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.39% (

1.37)

38.61% (

-1.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.64% (

1.28)

75.35% (

-1.28)

Score Analysis

Belarus 55.88%

Andorra 20.5%

Draw 23.61%

Belarus	Draw	Andorra
1-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.5) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.57% Total : 55.88%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.61%	0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.48% Total : 20.5%