Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Arena Nationala

Romania
4 - 0
Andorra

Stanciu (23'), Hagi (28'), Marin (44' pen.), Coman (50')
Marin (9')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Vieira (9'), Sanchez (12'), San Nicolas (19'), Rubio (37'), Garcia (42'), Bernat (84')
San Nicolas (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Championship qualifying clash between Romania and Andorra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Romania

All competitions

Last Game: Belarus 0-0 Romania
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	6	12	14
2	Romania	7	5	13
3	Israel	6	0	11
4	Kosovo	7	0	7
5	Belarus	7	-7	5
6	Andorra	7	-10	2

Andorra

All competitions

Last Game: Andorra 0-3 Kosovo
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	6	12	14
2	Romania	7	5	13
3	Israel	6	0	11
4	Kosovo	7	0	7
5	Belarus	7	-7	5
6	Andorra	7	-10	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 78.82%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 6.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.16%) and 3-0 (12.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.82%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Romania in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Romania.

Result
Romania	Draw	Andorra
78.82% ( -0.04)	14.53% ( 0.02)	6.65% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 39.17% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.61% (

42.39% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.21% (

0.01)

64.8% (

-0)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.25% (

-0.01)

8.75% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.93% (

-0.02)

30.07% (

0.02)

Andorra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.92% (

0.06)

57.08% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.92% (

0.03)

89.08% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Romania 78.81%

Andorra 6.65%

Draw 14.53%

Romania	Draw	Andorra
2-0 @ 14.82% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 78.81%	1-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5% 2-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 14.53%	0-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 6.65%