Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Arena Nationala
We said: Romania 4-0 Andorra
Romania have not been particularly successful in the attacking third in their Euro 2024 qualifying campaign so far, scoring nine goals in seven games, and their offensive weaknesses were also evident on Thursday against Belarus.
However, the home match against one of Europe's minnows could be the ice breaker to crack the opponents' goal and claim a comprehensive victory in the battle for the top spot in Group I.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 78.82%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 6.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.16%) and 3-0 (12.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.82%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Romania in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Romania.
| Result |
| Romania | Draw | Andorra |
78.82% ( -0.04) | 14.53% ( 0.02) | 6.65% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 39.17% ( 0.05) |
| 57.61% ( 0) | 42.39% ( -0) |
| 35.21% ( 0.01) | 64.8% ( -0) |
| 91.25% ( -0.01) | 8.75% ( 0.01) |
