Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Cyprus	Draw	Lithuania
19.92% ( 0.21)	24.18% ( 0.08)	55.9% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 48.06% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.46% (

-0.04)

52.54% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.8% (

-0.04)

74.2% (

0.04)

Cyprus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.09% (

0.21)

40.91% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.53% (

0.18)

77.48% (

-0.18)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.33% (

-0.13)

18.67% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50% (

-0.21)

50% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Cyprus 19.92%

Lithuania 55.89%

Draw 24.17%

Cyprus	Draw	Lithuania
1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.21% Total : 19.92%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.17%	0-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 10.75% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.02% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 55.89%