Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 15, 2023 at 2pm UK

Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni

Georgia
4 - 0
Cyprus

Kiteishvili (46'), Kvaratskhelia (58'), Shengelia (82'), Mikautadze (90+5' pen.)
Chakvetadze (45')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Christofi (29'), Karo (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Georgia and Cyprus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Georgia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Georgia 8-0 Thailand
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	6	9	15
2	Spain	5	15	12
3	Norway	6	3	10
4	Georgia	5	-8	4
5	Cyprus	6	-19	0

Cyprus

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Cyprus 0-4 Norway
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	6	9	15
2	Spain	5	15	12
3	Norway	6	3	10
4	Georgia	5	-8	4
5	Cyprus	6	-19	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 90.22%. A draw had a probability of 6.7% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 3.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.99%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-2 (1.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.

Result
Georgia	Draw	Cyprus
90.22% ( 0.25)	6.71% ( -0.17)	3.06% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 48.11% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

82.05% (

0.52)

17.94% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

64.89% (

0.77)

35.1% (

-0.77)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.69% (

0.09)

2.3% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

89% (

0.37)

10.99% (

-0.37)

Cyprus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.25% (

0.14)

50.75% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.82% (

0.09)

85.17% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Georgia 90.22%

Cyprus 3.06%

Draw 6.71%

Georgia	Draw	Cyprus
3-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 9.85% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.19) 5-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.08) 6-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.15) 6-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.08) 7-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) 7-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.06) 8-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.05) 6-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.66% Total : 90.22%	1-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.64% Total : 6.71%	1-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.04% Total : 3.06%