Euro Champ Qualifying
Nov 16, 2023 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT Makareio Stadio
  • Anderson Correia 17' yellowcard
  • Antreas Karo 59' yellowcard
  • Kostas Pileas 75' goal
  • Ioannis Kousoulos 77' yellowcard
  • Danilo Spoljaric 87' yellowcard
  • goal Lamine Yamal 5'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 22'
  • goal Joselu 28'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Riquelme 82'

Cyprus vs Spain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Cyprus

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 15, 2023 2.00pm
Georgia 4 - 0 Cyprus

Spain

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 15, 2023 7.45pm
Norway 0 - 1 Spain

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 89.85%. A draw had a probability of 7.7% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 2.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.98%) and 0-4 (11.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.6%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (1.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result

Cyprus 2.44% (-0.01)
Draw 7.71% (-0.03)
Spain 89.85% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

32.13% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.48% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 30.52% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 48.18% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 51.82% (-0.12)
Over 4.5 29.09% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 70.91% (-0.11)

Cyprus Goals

Over 0.5 33.52% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 66.48% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 6.38% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 93.62% (-0.02)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 95.83% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 4.17% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 82.59% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 17.41% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Cyprus 2.44%
Draw 7.71%
Spain 89.83%
Cyprus
1-0 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 2.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 3.6% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.77% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 7.71%
Spain
0-3 @ 14.81% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 13.98% (-0.04)
0-4 @ 11.77% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.04)
0-5 @ 7.48% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 6.05% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 4.81% (+0.02)
0-6 @ 3.96% (+0.02)
1-5 @ 3.06% (+0.02)
0-7 @ 1.8% (+0.01)
1-6 @ 1.62% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.74%
Total : 89.83%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 12, 2023 7.45pm
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla
  • Gavi 18' goal
  • Mikel Merino 33' goal
  • Yeremy Pino 69' yellowcard
  • Joselu 70' goal
  • Ferran Torres 73' goal
  • Alex Baena 77' goal
  • Ferran Torres 83' goal
  • yellowcard Grigoris Kastanos 45'+2'