Nations League
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-
Edgaras Utkus
8'
-
Fedor Cernych
50'
-
Rokas Lekiatas
87'
Lithuania vs Gibraltar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 78.8%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 7.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.41%) and 1-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lithuania would win this match.
Result
Lithuania
78.8%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
14.08%
▲
(+0.07)
Gibraltar
7.12%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
43.47%
▼
(-0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.82%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 2.5
38.17%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 3.5
39.55%
▼
(-0.62)
Under 3.5
60.45%
▲
(+0.62)
Over 4.5
21.78%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 4.5
78.22%
▲
(+0.50)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5
92.22%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
7.78%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
72.35%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 1.5
27.65%
▲
(+0.34)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5
47.14%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 0.5
52.85%
▲
(+0.57)
Over 1.5
13.44%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 1.5
86.56%
▲
(+0.37)
Score analysis
Lithuania
78.79%
Draw
14.08%
Gibraltar
7.12%
Lithuania
2-0
@
13.4%
▲
(+0.19)
3-0 @ 11.41% ▲ (+0.09)
1-0 @ 10.5% ▲ (+0.23)
2-1 @ 8.55% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.07)
6-0 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.05)
6-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 78.79%
3-0 @ 11.41% ▲ (+0.09)
1-0 @ 10.5% ▲ (+0.23)
2-1 @ 8.55% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.07)
6-0 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.05)
6-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 78.79%
Draw
1-1
@
6.7%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 14.08%
0-0 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 14.08%
Gibraltar
0-1
@
2.62%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 7.12%
1-2 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 7.12%
