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UEFA Nations League

Lithuania national football team
Nations League | Relegation Playoff | 2nd Leg
Mar 26, 2024 at 5pm UK
S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas
Gibraltar national football team

Lithuania
1 - 0
Gibraltar

Cernych (50')
Utkus (8'), Lekiatas (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Lithuania and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-1 Lithuania
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Nations League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Gibraltar

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-1 Lithuania
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 78.8%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 7.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.41%) and 1-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lithuania would win this match.

Result
LithuaniaDrawGibraltar
78.8% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)14.08% (0.062999999999999 0.06)7.12% (-0.0581 -0.06)
Both teams to score 43.47% (-0.582 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.82% (-0.57700000000001 -0.58)38.17% (0.574 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.55% (-0.616 -0.62)60.45% (0.614 0.61)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.22% (-0.133 -0.13)7.78% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.35% (-0.336 -0.34)27.65% (0.334 0.33)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.14% (-0.562 -0.56)52.85% (0.56 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.44% (-0.365 -0.37)86.56% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Lithuania 78.79%
    Gibraltar 7.12%
    Draw 14.08%
LithuaniaDrawGibraltar
2-0 @ 13.4% (0.19 0.19)
3-0 @ 11.41% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 10.5% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 7.29% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.28% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.65% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-0 @ 3.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.37% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.06 -0.06)
6-0 @ 1.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.048 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.01% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 78.79%
1-1 @ 6.7% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.11% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 2.73% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 14.08%
0-1 @ 2.62% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 2.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 7.12%

How you voted: Lithuania vs Gibraltar

Lithuania
86.4%
Draw
9.1%
Gibraltar
4.5%
44
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2024 7.45pm
Relegation Playoff 1st Leg
Gibraltar
0-1
Lithuania

Ruiz (82')
Coleing (26')
Kucys (60')
Girdvainis (8'), Lasickas (16'), Paulauskas (32'), Gineitis (44')
Girdvainis (71')
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