UEFA Nations League

Nations League | Relegation Playoff | 2nd Leg

Mar 26, 2024 at 5pm UK

S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas

Lithuania
1 - 0
Gibraltar

(Lithuania win 2-0 on aggregate)

Cernych (50')
Utkus (8'), Lekiatas (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Lithuania and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

Last Game: Gibraltar 0-1 Lithuania
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Gibraltar

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Gibraltar 0-1 Lithuania
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	8	26	22
2	Netherlands	8	10	18
3	Greece	8	6	13
4	Republic of Ireland	8	-1	6
5	Gibraltar	8	-41	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 78.8%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 7.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.41%) and 1-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lithuania would win this match.

Result
Lithuania	Draw	Gibraltar
78.8% ( -0.01)	14.08% ( 0.06)	7.12% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 43.47% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.82% (

-0.58)

38.17% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.55% (

-0.62)

60.45% (

0.61)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.22% (

-0.13)

7.78% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.35% (

-0.34)

27.65% (

0.33)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.14% (

-0.56)

52.85% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.44% (

-0.37)

86.56% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Lithuania 78.79%

Gibraltar 7.12%

Draw 14.08%

Lithuania	Draw	Gibraltar
2-0 @ 13.4% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.23% Total : 78.79%	1-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.55% Total : 14.08%	0-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 7.12%