Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lithuania win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Belarus has a probability of 31.33% and a draw has a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Belarus win is 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.25%).