UEFA Nations League

Nations League | Relegation Playoff | 2nd Leg

Mar 23, 2024 at 11pm UK

Belarus
C-C
Lithuania

(agg: -)

Coverage of the Nations League Relegation Playoff clash between Belarus and Lithuania.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belarus

All competitions

Last Game: Belarus 0-2 Montenegro
Thursday, March 21 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	10	11	22
2	Switzerland	10	11	17
3	Israel	10	0	15
4	Belarus	10	-5	12
5	Kosovo	10	0	11
6	Andorra	10	-17	2

Lithuania

Last Game: Gibraltar 0-1 Lithuania
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lithuania win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Belarus has a probability of 31.33% and a draw has a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Belarus win is 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.25%).

Result
Belarus	Draw	Lithuania
31.33% ( -9.62)	28.57% ( -1.15)	40.1% ( 10.76)

Both teams to score 45.43% (

3.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.16% (

4.2)

60.83% (

-4.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.13% (

3.05)

80.87% (

-3.05)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.6% (

-4.1)

35.39% (

4.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.84% (

-4.51)

72.15% (

4.5)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.32% (

9.57)

29.67% (

-9.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.27% (

10.23)

65.72% (

-10.24)

Score Analysis

Belarus 31.32%

Lithuania 40.09%

Draw 28.57%

Belarus	Draw	Lithuania
1-0 @ 10.9% ( -3.36) 2-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.87) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( -2.62) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.62) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( -1.25) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.08% Total : 31.32%	1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 10.5% ( -1.78) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.56) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.57%	0-1 @ 12.75% ( 1.27) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 1.81) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 2.38) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 1.32) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( 1.46) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.56) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.54) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.56) Other @ 1.5% Total : 40.09%