UEFA Nations League

Nations League | Relegation Playoff | 2nd Leg

Mar 23, 2024 at 11pm UK

Belarus
C-C
Lithuania

(agg: -)

Coverage of the Nations League Relegation Playoff clash between Belarus and Lithuania.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belarus

All competitions

Last Game: Belarus 0-0 Greece
Tuesday, November 18 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Bulgaria	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Belarus	0	0	0

Lithuania

Last Game: Netherlands 4-0 Lithuania
Monday, November 17 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lithuania win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Belarus has a probability of 31.33% and a draw has a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Belarus win is 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.25%).

Result
Belarus	Draw	Lithuania
31.33% ( -0.65)	28.57% ( -0.18)	40.1% ( 0.83)

Both teams to score 45.43% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.16% (

0.46)

60.83% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.13% (

0.35)

80.87% (

-0.35)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.6% (

-0.23)

35.39% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.84% (

-0.24)

72.15% (

0.24)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.32% (

0.72)

29.67% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.27% (

0.86)

65.72% (

-0.87)

Score Analysis

Belarus 31.32%

Lithuania 40.09%

Draw 28.57%

Belarus	Draw	Lithuania
1-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 31.32%	1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.57%	0-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.5% Total : 40.09%