Nations League
Mar 23, 2024 11.00pm

Belarus vs Lithuania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Belarus

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Mar 20, 2024 11.00pm
Lithuania 0 - 0 Belarus

Lithuania

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Mar 21, 2024 7.45pm
Gibraltar 0 - 1 Lithuania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lithuania win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Belarus has a probability of 31.33% and a draw has a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Belarus win is 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.25%).

Result

Belarus 31.33% (-0.66)
Draw 28.57% (-0.19)
Lithuania 40.1% (+0.84)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.43% (+0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.16% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 60.83% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 19.13% (+0.35)
Under 3.5 80.87% (-0.36)
Over 4.5 7.84% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 92.15% (-0.20)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5 64.6% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 35.39% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 27.84% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 72.15% (+0.24)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5 70.32% (+0.72)
Under 0.5 29.67% (-0.72)
Over 1.5 34.27% (+0.87)
Under 1.5 65.72% (-0.87)

Score analysis

Belarus 31.32%
Draw 28.57%
Lithuania 40.09%
Belarus
1-0 @ 10.9% (-0.26)
2-1 @ 6.88% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 5.67% (-0.18)
3-1 @ 2.38% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.45% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 31.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.25% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 10.5% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 4.18% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.57%
Lithuania
0-1 @ 12.75% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.05% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 7.75% (+0.18)
1-3 @ 3.26% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 3.14% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 1.69% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 40.09%

Head to Head

Nations League
Mar 20, 2024 11.00pm
International Friendlies
Nov 16, 2021 12.00am
Nations League
Nov 15, 2020 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadyen Dynama
  • Evgeni Yablonski 5' goal
  • Max Ebong 20' goal
  • Roman Yuzepchukh 24' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Justas Lasickas 30'
  • yellowcard Edvinas Girdvainis 33'
Nations League
Oct 11, 2020 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Vilniaus LFF stadionas
  • Arvydas Novikovas 7' goal
  • Donatas Kazlauskas 57' yellowcard
  • Egidijus Vaitkunas 59' yellowcard
  • Karolis Laukzemis 75' goal
  • Martynas Dapkus 88' yellowcard
  • Modestas Vorobjovas 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Valeriy Gromyko 20'
  • yellowcard Max Ebong 38'
  • goal Vitali Lisakovich 59'
  • goal Aleksandr Sachivko 66'