Euro Champ Qualifying | Final
Mar 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Wales0 - 0Poland
Poland win 5-4 on penalties
The Match
Match Report
Wales' Euro 2024 dreams come to a heartbreaking end as Poland win their playoff final 5-4 on penalties following a goalless draw in 120 minutes.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Wales and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wales 4-1 Finland
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Poland 5-1 Estonia
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Moldova | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 8 | -11 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Poland had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Poland win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wales | Draw | Poland |
45.57% ( 0.74) | 26.57% ( -0.21) | 27.86% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 49.45% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
