Euro Champ Qualifying | Semi-Finals
Mar 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Slaski
Poland5 - 1Estonia
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Poland 2-0 Latvia
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Moldova | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 8 | -11 | 2 |
We said: Poland 4-0 Estonia
To say that Estonia earned a golden ticket to the Euro 2024 playoffs would be an understatement, and the gulf in quality between the two clubs should be apparent from the get-go. The visitors may have pulled off a giant killing of Poland 12 years ago, but with the Eagles recently proving to be an unbeatable force at home in Euros qualifiers, a straightforward passage to the final should await the hosts on Thursday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 70.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 9.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.6%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Estonia |
70.77% ( 0.61) | 19.71% ( -0.12) | 9.52% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 36.25% ( -1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
