International Friendlies
Jan 12, 2024 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Paphiako Athlitiko Kentro
  • Sebastian Nanasi 30' goal
  • Anton Eriksson 39' yellowcard
  • Isaac Kiese Thelin 53' goal
  • goal Kevor Palumets 19'
  • yellowcard Nikita Mihhailov 35'
  • yellowcard Karl Andre Vallner 84'

Sweden vs Estonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions

Estonia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 76.95%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 7.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.47%) and 3-0 (11.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sweden in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sweden.

Result

Sweden 76.95% (-0.06)
Draw 15.85% (-0.03)
Estonia 7.2% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.69% (+0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.8% (+0.45)
Under 2.5 46.2% (-0.45)
Over 3.5 31.5% (+0.42)
Under 3.5 68.49% (-0.42)
Over 4.5 15.72% (+0.30)
Under 4.5 84.27% (-0.30)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5 89.84% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 10.15% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 66.62% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 33.37% (-0.23)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5 41.95% (+0.52)
Under 0.5 58.04% (-0.52)
Over 1.5 10.38% (+0.28)
Under 1.5 89.62% (-0.28)

Score analysis

Sweden 76.93%
Draw 15.85%
Estonia 7.2%
Sweden
2-0 @ 15.41% (-0.17)
1-0 @ 13.47% (-0.20)
3-0 @ 11.75% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.39% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 6.72% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.4% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 3.66% (+0.06)
5-0 @ 3.08% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.74% (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.67% (+0.04)
6-0 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 76.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.33% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.89% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 2.28% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 15.85%
Estonia
0-1 @ 3.21% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 1.99% (+0.04)
Other @ 2%
Total : 7.2%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Nov 19, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Friends Arena
  • Viktor Claesson 22' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 55' goal
  • Filip Helander 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marten Kuusk 69'
  • yellowcard Markus Poom 90'+1'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 9, 2023 5.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 3
FT A. Le Coq Arena
  • Karol Mets 14' yellowcard
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 18'
  • yellowcard Isak Hien 21'
  • goal Dejan Kulusevski 24'
  • goal Alexander Isak 39'
  • goal Robin Quaison 75'
  • goal Viktor Claesson 90'+2'
International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2021 4.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marcus Berg 4' goal
  • Ken Sema 61' yellowcard
  • Mattias Svanberg 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Kirss 52'
  • yellowcard Henrik Purg 73'
  • yellowcard Henri Anier 76'