/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbellog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fswelog.png)
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Romelu Lukaku
31'
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Viktor Gyokeres
15'
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Mattias Svanberg
36'
Belgium vs Sweden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F42%2Fbelgium-sweden.jpg)
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F41%2Fbelgium.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 60.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Sweden win it was 0-1 (5.03%).
Result
Belgium
60.7%
▼
(-0.33)
Draw
21.22%
▲
(+0.09)
Sweden
18.07%
▲
(+0.24)
Both Teams to Score:
54.12%
▲
(+0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.14%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
42.85%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
34.74%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
65.26%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
18.07%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
81.92%
▲
(+0.01)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5
86.33%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
13.66%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
59.14%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
40.86%
▲
(+0.20)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5
62.68%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 0.5
37.32%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 1.5
25.9%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 1.5
74.1%
▼
(-0.26)
Score analysis
Belgium
60.7%
Draw
21.22%
Sweden
18.07%
Belgium
1-0
@
10.14%
▼
(-0.04)
2-0 @ 10.1% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-0 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 60.7%
2-0 @ 10.1% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-0 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 60.7%
Draw
1-1
@
10%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.22%
0-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.22%
Sweden
0-1
@
5.03%
▲
(+0.04)
1-2 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 18.07%
1-2 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 18.07%