Friendlies 1

Oct 12, 2023 at 6pm UK

Friends Arena

Sweden
3 - 1
Moldova

FT(HT: 2-1)

Nicolaescu (39')
Cojocaru (41'), Baboglo (52'), Marandici (66'), Craciun (67'), Platica (71'), Revenco (73'), Posmac (84')
Craciun (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Sweden and Moldova, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Sweden 1-3 Austria
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Belgium	5	12	13
2	Austria	5	8	13
3	Sweden	5	3	6
4	Azerbaijan	4	-9	1
5	Estonia	5	-14	1

Moldova

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Faroe Islands 0-1 Moldova
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Albania	5	5	10
2	Czech Republic	4	5	8
3	Moldova	5	0	8
4	Poland	5	-2	6
5	Faroe Islands	5	-8	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
Sweden	Draw	Moldova
55.63% ( -0.18)	24.96% ( -0.04)	19.4% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 45.12% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.96% (

0.4)

56.04% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.88% (

0.32)

77.12% (

-0.33)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.88% (

0.08)

20.12% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.62% (

0.13)

52.38% (

-0.14)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.48% (

0.49)

43.51% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.28% (

0.41)

79.72% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Sweden 55.62%

Moldova 19.4%

Draw 24.96%

Sweden	Draw	Moldova
1-0 @ 14.03% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.45% Total : 55.62%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.63% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.8% Total : 19.4%