Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Friends Arena
We said: Sweden 3-0 Estonia
Determined to finish off an awful qualifying campaign by sending Janne Andersson on his way with a win, Sweden should complete a double over Estonia, who are destined to finish rock-bottom of Group F. An overhaul will be needed in the months ahead, but the Blagult still have enough ability to put one of Europe's weakest sides to the sword.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 71.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 10.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.68%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sweden in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sweden.
| Result |
| Sweden | Draw | Estonia |
71.97% ( -0.04) | 17.25% ( 0.05) | 10.78% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.21% ( -0.22) |
