Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Poland had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albania would win this match.