Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Narodowy

Poland
2 - 0
Faroe Islands

Lewandowski (73' pen., 83')
Krychowiak (22'), Wszolek (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ericsson (38'), Nattestad (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Poland and Faroe Islands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Moldova 3-2 Poland
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Czech Republic	3	5	7
2	Albania	3	3	6
3	Moldova	4	-1	5
4	Poland	3	-2	3
5	Faroe Islands	3	-5	1

Faroe Islands

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Faroe Islands 1-3 Albania
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Czech Republic	3	5	7
2	Albania	3	3	6
3	Moldova	4	-1	5
4	Poland	3	-2	3
5	Faroe Islands	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 19.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
Poland	Draw	Faroe Islands
55.77% ( 0.07)	25.22% ( -0.02)	19.01% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 43.86% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.61% (

0.01)

57.39% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.79% (

0.01)

78.21% (

-0.01)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.4% (

0.03)

20.6% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.86% (

0.05)

53.14% (

-0.06)

Faroe Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.24% (

-0.05)

44.75% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.26% (

-0.04)

80.74% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Poland 55.76%

Faroe Islands 19.01%

Draw 25.22%

Poland	Draw	Faroe Islands
1-0 @ 14.56% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 55.76%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0) Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.22%	0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 19.01%