Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Poland had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.77%) and 1-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Poland win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.