Friendlies 1

Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Slaski

Poland
2 - 0
Latvia

Frankowski (7'), Lewandowski (48')
Bednarek (33'), Swiderski (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Uldrikis (26'), Cernomordijs (75'), Oss (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Poland and Latvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Poland 1-1 Czech Republic
Friday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Albania	8	8	15
2	Czech Republic	8	6	15
3	Poland	8	0	11
4	Moldova	8	-3	10
5	Faroe Islands	8	-11	2

Latvia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Latvia 0-2 Croatia
Saturday, November 18 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	7	7	16
2	Croatia	7	8	13
3	Wales	7	0	11
4	Armenia	7	-1	8
5	Latvia	8	-14	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 64.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.42%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
Poland	Draw	Latvia
64.24% ( -0.22)	22.11% ( 0.11)	13.65% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 41.78% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.74% (

-0.2)

54.26% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.34% (

-0.17)

75.66% (

0.17)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.68% (

-0.14)

16.32% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.1% (

-0.26)

45.9% (

0.26)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.92% (

0.04)

50.08% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.29% (

0.03)

84.71% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Poland 64.23%

Latvia 13.65%

Draw 22.11%

Poland	Draw	Latvia
1-0 @ 14.81% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 64.23%	1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.11%	0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 13.65%