/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fpollog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Flatlog.png)
-
Przemyslaw Frankowski
7'
-
Jan Bednarek
33'
-
Robert Lewandowski
48'
-
Karol Swiderski
69'
-
Roberts Uldrikis
26'
-
Antonijs Cernomordijs
75'
-
Marcis Oss
90'+4'
Poland vs Latvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F46%2Fpoland.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 64.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.42%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.
Result
Poland
64.24%
▼
(-0.22)
Draw
22.11%
▲
(+0.11)
Latvia
13.65%
▲
(+0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
41.78%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.74%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 2.5
54.26%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 3.5
24.34%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 3.5
75.66%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 4.5
10.94%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 4.5
89.06%
▲
(+0.11)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5
83.68%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
16.32%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
54.1%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 1.5
45.9%
▲
(+0.27)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5
49.92%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
50.08%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
15.29%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
84.71%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Poland
64.23%
Draw
22.11%
Latvia
13.65%
Poland
1-0
@
14.81%
▲
(+0.06)
2-0 @ 13.42% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 64.23%
2-0 @ 13.42% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 64.23%
Draw
1-1
@
10.24%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.11%
0-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.11%
Latvia
0-1
@
5.65%
▲
(+0.06)
1-2 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 13.65%
1-2 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 13.65%