/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Flatlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcrolog.png)
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Kristers Tobers
30'
-
Aleksejs Saveljevs
65'
-
Lovro Majer
7'
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Andrej Kramaric
16'
Latvia vs Croatia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F37%2Fcroatia.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 16.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.53%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Latvia win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.
Result
Latvia
16.55%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
22.07%
▲
(+0.01)
Croatia
61.38%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
48.35%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.99%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
49%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
28.91%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
71.08%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
13.93%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
86.07%
▼
(-0.02)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5
57.19%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
42.8%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
20.87%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
79.12%
▼
(-0.03)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5
84.53%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
15.47%
Over 1.5
55.65%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
44.34%
Score analysis
Latvia
16.55%
Draw
22.06%
Croatia
61.37%
Latvia
1-0
@
5.62%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 16.55%
2-1 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 16.55%
Draw
1-1
@
10.48%
0-0 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 22.06%
0-0 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 22.06%
Croatia
0-1
@
12.35%
▼
(-0.01)
0-2 @ 11.53%
1-2 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 61.37%
0-2 @ 11.53%
1-2 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 61.37%