Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadions Skonto
Latvia0 - 2Croatia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Turkey 4-0 Latvia
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
We said: Latvia 0-3 Croatia
With a point to prove - and automatic qualification still possible - Croatia will go full gas to ensure they take care of business in Riga. The gulf in class between the visitors and their more modest hosts is quite substantial, and that should be reflected in the scoreline. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 16.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.53%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Latvia win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Latvia | Draw | Croatia |
16.55% ( 0.01) | 22.07% ( 0) | 61.38% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.35% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
