Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 18, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadions Skonto

Latvia
0 - 2
Croatia

Tobers (30'), Saveljevs (65')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Majer (7'), Kramaric (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Latvia and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Latvia

All competitions

Last Game: Turkey 4-0 Latvia
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	7	7	16
2	Croatia	6	6	10
3	Wales	6	0	10
4	Armenia	6	-1	7
5	Latvia	7	-12	3

Croatia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Wales 2-1 Croatia
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	7	7	16
2	Croatia	6	6	10
3	Wales	6	0	10
4	Armenia	6	-1	7
5	Latvia	7	-12	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 16.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.53%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Latvia win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.

Result
Latvia	Draw	Croatia
16.55% ( 0.01)	22.07% ( 0)	61.38% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 48.35% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.99% (

0.02)

49% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.91% (

0.02)

71.08% (

-0.02)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.19% (

0.03)

42.8% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.87% (

0.03)

79.12% (

-0.02)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.53% (

15.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.65% (

44.34%

Score Analysis

Latvia 16.55%

Croatia 61.37%

Draw 22.06%

Latvia	Draw	Croatia
1-0 @ 5.62% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.45% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 16.55%	1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 22.06%	0-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 11.53% 1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.17% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.09% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.35% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.25% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.16% Total : 61.37%