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Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Turkey national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ataturk Olimpiyat Stadi
Latvia national football team

Turkey
4 - 0
Latvia

Akgun (58'), Tosun (83', 90+2'), Akturkoglu (87')
Ozcan (17'), Akturkoglu (63'), Bardakci (64'), Kahveci (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Emsis (49'), Ozols (51'), Daskevics (56'), Tobers (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Turkey and Latvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Croatia 0-1 Turkey
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey6313
2Croatia5710
3Armenia6-17
4Wales5-17
5Latvia6-83

Latvia

All competitions
Last Game: Latvia 2-0 Armenia
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey6313
2Croatia5710
3Armenia6-17
4Wales5-17
5Latvia6-83

We said: Turkey 3-1 Latvia

 After such an excellent result in Croatia, expectations will be raised even higher in Turkey this weekend, when the Crescent-Stars should book their ticket to Germany with a win. New coach Vincenzo Montella has built up a lot of good will already, so will be keen to retain it by securing a spot at Euro 2024 at the first opportunity. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 72.44%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 11.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Latvia win it was 1-2 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
TurkeyDrawLatvia
72.44% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 16.19% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 11.37% (0.068 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.48% (0.15199999999999 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.21% (0.072000000000003 0.07)33.78% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.38% (0.082999999999998 0.08)55.62% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.88% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)8.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.49% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)28.5% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.3% (0.16699999999999 0.17)40.7% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.71% (0.151 0.15)77.28% (-0.155 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Turkey 72.43%
    Latvia 11.37%
    Draw 16.19%
TurkeyDrawLatvia
2-0 @ 10.41% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.72% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 5.47% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.47%
4-2 @ 2.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.11% (0.006 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 72.43%
1-1 @ 7.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.19%
1-2 @ 3.35% (0.017 0.02)
0-1 @ 2.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.34% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 11.37%

How you voted: Turkey vs Latvia

Turkey
81.1%
Draw
11.3%
Latvia
7.5%
53
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Latvia
2-3
Turkey
Emsis (51'), Tobers (90+4')
Oss (34'), Emsis (52'), Tobers (66')
Emsis (82')
Bardakci (22'), Under (61'), Kahveci (90+5')
Celik (32'), Kadioglu (41')
> Preview
Oct 11, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Latvia
1-2
Turkey
Demiral (70' og.)
Jaunzems (3'), Cigaņiks (50'), Tarasovs (87'), Ozols (90+2')
Dursun (76'), Yilmaz (90+9' pen.)
Yilmaz (57')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Turkey
3-3
Latvia
Karaman (2'), Calhanoglu (33'), Yilmaz (52' pen.)
Soyuncu (55'), Unal (90'), Turuc (90+4')
Savaļnieks (35'), Uldrikis (58'), Ikaunieks (79')
Kamess (68'), Emsis (71'), Fjodorovs (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Turkey
1-1
Latvia
İnan (77')
Tufan (32')
Sabala (91')
Tarasovs (9'), Vanins (34'), Sabala (91'), Visnakovs (92')
> Match Report
Oct 13, 2014 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Latvia
1-1
Turkey
Sabala (54' pen.)
Ikaunieks (45'), Visnakovs (45'), Freimanis (52')
Freimanis (92')
Kisa (47')
Turan (51'), Tore (53'), Kisa (65'), Altintop (92')
> Match Report
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