UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Wales
0 - 0
Turkey

Wilson (28'), Johnson (29')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Yildiz (25'), Yilmaz (31'), Ayhan (39'), Soyuncu (60'), Muldur (62')
Yilmaz (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Wales and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wales

All competitions

Last Game: Slovakia 4-0 Wales
Sunday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	8	7	17
2	Croatia	8	9	16
3	Wales	8	0	12
4	Armenia	8	-2	8
5	Latvia	8	-14	3

Turkey

All competitions

Last Game: Netherlands 2-1 Turkey
Saturday, July 6 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	2	6
2	Turkey	3	0	6
3	Georgia	3	0	4
4	Czech Republic	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Turkey win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Wales	Draw	Turkey
44.66% ( 0.04)	26.46% ( -0.01)	28.87% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.39% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.97% (

0.04)

54.03% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.53% (

0.03)

75.47% (

-0.03)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.91% (

0.04)

24.08% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.63% (

0.05)

58.37% (

-0.05)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.37% (

-0)

33.62% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.72% (

-0)

70.27% (

Score Analysis

Wales 44.66%

Turkey 28.87%

Draw 26.46%

Wales	Draw	Turkey
1-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 44.66%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.87%