Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Austria national football team
European Championship | Round of 16
Jul 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Turkey national football team

Austria
1 - 2
Turkey

Gregoritsch (66')
Schmid (38'), Lienhart (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Demiral (1', 59')
Kokcu (11'), Yuksek (42')

The Match

Match Report

Defender Merih Demiral scores a brace as Turkey advance to the quarter-finals of Euro 2024 with a 2-1 win over Austria in the last 16.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Championship clash between Austria and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Turkey could line up for Tuesday's Euro 2024 clash with Austria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Netherlands 2-3 Austria
Tuesday, June 25 at 5pm in European Championship

Turkey

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Czech Republic 1-2 Turkey
Wednesday, June 26 at 8pm in European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Austria had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Austria win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
AustriaDrawTurkey
35.83% (0.828 0.83)25.49% (0.123 0.12)38.68% (-0.952 -0.95)
Both teams to score 55.94% (-0.307 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.03% (-0.44499999999999 -0.44)47.97% (0.444 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.86% (-0.407 -0.41)70.14% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.01% (0.273 0.27)25.99% (-0.275 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.99% (0.368 0.37)61.01% (-0.37 -0.37)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58% (-0.697 -0.7)24.42% (0.695 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.16% (-0.99 -0.99)58.84% (0.988 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Austria 35.83%
    Turkey 38.68%
    Draw 25.49%
AustriaDrawTurkey
1-0 @ 8.55% (0.221 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 5.76% (0.193 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.65% (0.078 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 35.83%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.116 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.5% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.99% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.68%

How you voted: Austria vs Turkey

Austria
76.5%
Turkey
23.5%
784
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2024 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Austria
6-1
Turkey
Schlager (2'), Gregoritsch (44', 48', 59' pen.), Baumgartner (78' pen.), Entrup (90+5')
Schlager (74'), Posch (80')
Calhanoglu (25' pen.)
Calhanoglu (31'), Guler (74'), Kokcu (80')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2020 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Austria
P-P
Turkey
rhs 2.0
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