European Championship
Turkey
Jun 22, 2024 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
Portugal
  • Abdulkerim Bardakci 25' yellowcard
  • Samet Akaydin 42' yellowcard
  • Zeki Celik 42' yellowcard
  • goal Bernardo Silva 21'
  • goal Samet Akaydin 28' (OG)
  • yellowcard Rafael Leao 39'
  • yellowcard Joao Palhinha 45'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 56'

Turkey vs Portugal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions
European Championship
Last game
Jun 18, 2024 5.00pm
Turkey 3 - 1 Georgia

Portugal

All competitions
European Championship
Last game
Jun 18, 2024 8.00pm
Portugal 2 - 1 Czech Republic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 56.04%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 0-1 (7.84%). The likeliest Turkey win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result

Turkey 22.62% ▼ (-0.31)
Draw 21.34% ▼ (-0.13)
Portugal 56.04% ▲ (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.32% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.13% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 36.87% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 40.95% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 3.5 59.05% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 4.5 22.91% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 4.5 77.09% ▼ (-0.19)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5 70.58% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 29.42% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 34.59% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 65.41% ▲ (+0.17)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5 86.88% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 0.5 13.12% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 1.5 60.23% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 1.5 39.78% ▼ (-0.40)

Score analysis

Turkey 22.62%
Draw 21.34%
Portugal 56.04%
Turkey
2-1 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.07)
1-0 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 22.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.59% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.34%
Portugal
1-2 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.06)
0-4 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.06)
2-4 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.03)
1-5 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.04)
0-5 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 56.04%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Portugal
Mar 24, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Turkey
  • Otavio 15' goal
  • Diogo Jota 35' yellowcard
  • Diogo Jota 42' goal
  • Joao Moutinho 86' yellowcard
  • Matheus Nunes 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Zeki Celik 35'
  • goal Burak Yilmaz 65'
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 69'
  • yellowcard Merih Demiral 76'
  • yellowcard Dorukhan Tokoz 90'+6'

Form Data

Turkey 3 - 1 Georgia
Poland 2 - 1 Turkey
Italy 0 - 0 Turkey
Austria 6 - 1 Turkey
Hungary 1 - 0 Turkey
Wales 1 - 1 Turkey
Portugal 2 - 1 Czech Republic
Portugal 3 - 0 Rep. Ireland
Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia
Portugal 4 - 2 Finland
Slovenia 2 - 0 Portugal
Portugal 5 - 2 Sweden

Build-up

Live Commentary
Predicted Lineups