Euro 2024

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 22, 2024 at 5pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Turkey
0 - 3
Portugal

Bardakci (25'), Akaydin (42'), Celik (42')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Silva (21'), Akaydin (28' og.), Fernandes (56')
Leao (39'), Palhinha (45')

Reaction

Turkey coach Vincenzo Montella on June 22, 2024

Turkey boss Vincenzo Montella takes positives from Euro 2024 defeat to Portugal

Turkey manager Vincenzo Montella takes the positives from his side's 3-0 defeat to Portugal at Euro 2024 on Saturday night.

Jun 23, 10:39

Portugal coach Roberto Martinez on June 22, 2024

Euro 2024: Portugal boss Roberto Martinez pays tribute to experienced duo

Portugal head coach Roberto Martinez brands Pepe "an example" following the centre-back's impressive performance against Turkey at Euro 2024.

Jun 23, 10:15

Portugal's Cristiano Ronaldo pictured on June 22, 2024

Cristiano Ronaldo breaks fresh Euros record in Portugal win over Turkey

Portugal star Cristiano Ronaldo breaks another European Championship record in Saturday's 3-0 win over Turkey.

Jun 22, 23:07

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Turkey 3-1 Georgia
Tuesday, June 18 at 5pm in European Championship

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	1	2	3
2	Portugal	1	1	3
3	Czech Republic	1	-1	0
4	Georgia	1	-2	0

Portugal

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Portugal 2-1 Czech Republic
Tuesday, June 18 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	1	2	3
2	Portugal	1	1	3
3	Czech Republic	1	-1	0
4	Georgia	1	-2	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 56.04%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 0-1 (7.84%). The likeliest Turkey win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
Turkey	Draw	Portugal
22.62% ( -0.3)	21.34% ( -0.12)	56.04% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 61.32% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.13% (

0.22)

36.87% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.95% (

0.23)

59.05% (

-0.23)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.58% (

-0.13)

29.42% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.59% (

-0.16)

65.41% (

0.17)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.88% (

0.2)

13.12% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.23% (

0.4)

39.78% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Turkey 22.62%

Portugal 56.04%

Draw 21.34%

Turkey	Draw	Portugal
2-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 22.62%	1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.34%	1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.59% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 5.39% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.35% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.74% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.88% Total : 56.04%