/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fporlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcrolog.png)
-
Diogo Jota
48'
-
Joao Cancelo
77'
-
Luka Modric
8'
-
Ante Budimir
40'
-
Ante Budimir
56'
-
Marcelo Brozovic
59'
-
Luka Ivanusec
90'+1'
Portugal vs Croatia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F23%2Fportugal.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F41%2Fportugal.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 64.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 16.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Croatia win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result
Portugal
64.61%
▲
(+0.12)
Draw
19.22%
▲
(+0.24)
Croatia
16.16%
▼
(-0.36)
Both Teams to Score:
57.08%
▼
(-1.75)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.98%
▼
(-1.86)
Under 2.5
37.02%
▲
(+1.86)
Over 3.5
40.79%
▼
(-2.04)
Under 3.5
59.21%
▲
(+2.04)
Over 4.5
22.78%
▼
(-1.68)
Under 4.5
77.22%
▲
(+1.68)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5
89.19%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 0.5
10.8%
▲
(+0.50)
Over 1.5
65.15%
▼
(-1.13)
Under 1.5
34.85%
▲
(+1.13)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5
64%
▼
(-1.59)
Under 0.5
36%
▲
(+1.58)
Over 1.5
27.22%
▼
(-1.65)
Under 1.5
72.78%
▲
(+1.65)
Score analysis
Portugal
64.61%
Draw
19.22%
Croatia
16.16%
Portugal
2-1
@
9.84%
▲
(+0.07)
2-0 @ 9.63% ▲ (+0.47)
1-0 @ 8.66% ▲ (+0.60)
3-1 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.21)
4-1 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.15)
4-0 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.22)
4-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.17)
5-1 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.11)
5-0 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.64%
Total : 64.61%
2-0 @ 9.63% ▲ (+0.47)
1-0 @ 8.66% ▲ (+0.60)
3-1 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.21)
4-1 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.15)
4-0 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.22)
4-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.17)
5-1 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.11)
5-0 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.64%
Total : 64.61%
Draw
1-1
@
8.84%
▲
(+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.19)
0-0 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.35)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.22%
2-2 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.19)
0-0 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.35)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.22%
Croatia
1-2
@
4.52%
▼
(-0.07)
0-1 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.20)
0-2 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 16.16%
0-1 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.20)
0-2 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 16.16%
