Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Education City Stadium
Croatia1 - 0Armenia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Latvia 0-2 Croatia
Saturday, November 18 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Saturday, November 18 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
We said: Croatia 2-1 Armenia
Although Armenia have little left to play for, the former Soviet nation have proven themselves tough opponents throughout much of their Group D campaign, and Croatia only won September's reverse fixture by a single goal. After losing for the first time at home in European Championship qualifying last month, the home side will be keen to reach Euro 2024 in style - but it may be a closer call than many observers expect. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 72.71%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 10.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Croatia | Draw | Armenia |
72.71% ( -0.23) | 16.5% ( 0.11) | 10.78% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
