Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 98.87%. A draw had a probability of 1.1% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 0.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-4 with a probability of 18.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-5 (16.79%) and 0-3 (15.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.98%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (0.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.