Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rheinpark Stadion
Liechtenstein0 - 2Portugal
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Liechtenstein and Portugal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up for Thursday's Euro 2024 qualifier with Liechtenstein in Vaduz.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Iceland 4-0 Liechtenstein
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 8 | 30 | 24 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 8 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 8 | -10 | 11 |
| 4 | Iceland | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 8 | -7 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 8 | -24 | 0 |
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 0-5 Portugal
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 8 | 30 | 24 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 8 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 8 | -10 | 11 |
| 4 | Iceland | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 8 | -7 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 8 | -24 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 98.87%. A draw had a probability of 1.1% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 0.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-4 with a probability of 18.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-5 (16.79%) and 0-3 (15.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.98%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (0.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liechtenstein | Draw | Portugal |
| 0.03% ( | 1.1% ( | 98.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 2.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 84.06% ( | 15.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 67.93% ( | 32.07% ( |
| Liechtenstein Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 2.69% ( | 97.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 0.04% ( | 99.97% ( |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 99% ( | 1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 94.39% ( | 5.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
Liechtenstein 0.03%
Portugal 98.85%
Draw 1.1%
| Liechtenstein | Draw | Portugal |
| Other @ 0.03% Total : 0.03% | 0-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 1.1% | 0-4 @ 18.24% ( 0-5 @ 16.79% ( 0-3 @ 15.85% ( 0-6 @ 12.88% ( 0-2 @ 10.32% ( 0-7 @ 8.48% ( 0-8 @ 4.88% ( 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0-9 @ 2.5% ( 0-10 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 98.85% |
How you voted: Liechtenstein vs Portugal
Liechtenstein
8.2%Draw
8.2%Portugal
83.6%73
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2023 7.45pm
Form Guide
Build-up
Manchester City's Matheus Nunes withdraws from Portugal squad due to injury
Portugal announce that Manchester City midfielder Matheus Nunes has withdrawn from the national team squad due to injury.Nov 15, 16:02
How Portugal could line up against Liechtenstein
Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up for Thursday's Euro 2024 qualifier with Liechtenstein in Vaduz.Nov 14, 15:36


