/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fporlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ffinlog.png)
-
Ruben Dias
17'
-
Diogo Jota
45'+4'
-
Bruno Fernandes
56'
-
Bruno Fernandes
84'
-
Teemu Pukki
72'
-
Teemu Pukki
76'
Portugal vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F12%2Fportugal.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F41%2Fcristiano-ronaldo.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 66.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Finland had a probability of 15.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Finland win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
Result
Portugal
66.15%
▼
(-2.39)
Draw
18.84%
▲
(+0.91)
Finland
15.01%
▲
(+1.48)
Both Teams to Score:
55.59%
▲
(+0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.38%
▼
(-1.00)
Under 2.5
37.62%
▲
(+1.00)
Over 3.5
40.14%
▼
(-1.08)
Under 3.5
59.85%
▲
(+1.08)
Over 4.5
22.26%
▼
(-0.88)
Under 4.5
77.74%
▲
(+0.88)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5
89.42%
▼
(-0.86)
Under 0.5
10.58%
▲
(+0.86)
Over 1.5
65.65%
▼
(-1.97)
Under 1.5
34.35%
▲
(+1.97)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5
62.17%
▲
(+1.39)
Under 0.5
37.83%
▼
(-1.39)
Over 1.5
25.4%
▲
(+1.33)
Under 1.5
74.6%
▼
(-1.33)
Score analysis
Portugal
66.14%
Draw
18.85%
Finland
15.01%
Portugal
2-0
@
10.09%
▼
(-0.26)
2-1 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.13)
1-0 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.49)
3-1 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.19)
4-0 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.45)
4-1 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.27)
3-2 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.28)
5-1 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 4.63%
Total : 66.14%
2-1 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.13)
1-0 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.49)
3-1 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.19)
4-0 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.45)
4-1 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.27)
3-2 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.28)
5-1 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 4.63%
Total : 66.14%
Draw
1-1
@
8.74%
▲
(+0.43)
2-2 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.24)
0-0 @ 4% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.85%
2-2 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.24)
0-0 @ 4% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.85%
Finland
1-2
@
4.25%
▲
(+0.36)
0-1 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.33)
0-2 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.23)
2-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 15.01%
0-1 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.33)
0-2 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.23)
2-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 15.01%