Friendlies 1

Mar 26, 2024 at 5pm UK

Helsingin olympiastadion

Finland
2 - 1
Estonia

Jensen (30'), Hein (38' og.)
Pohjanpalo (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Tamm (62')
Kuusk (58')

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Finland and Estonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions

Last Game: Wales 4-1 Finland
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	10	11	22
2	Denmark	10	9	22
3	Finland	10	8	18
4	Kazakhstan	10	4	18
5	Northern Ireland	10	-4	9
6	San Marino	10	-28	0

Estonia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Poland 5-1 Estonia
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Belgium	8	18	20
2	Austria	8	10	19
3	Sweden	8	2	10
4	Azerbaijan	8	-10	7
5	Estonia	8	-20	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 66.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 12.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.68%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.

Result
Finland	Draw	Estonia
66.71% ( 0.05)	20.85% ( -0.02)	12.43% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 42.08% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.03% (

0.02)

51.97% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.29% (

0.02)

73.71% (

-0.02)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.26% (

0.02)

14.74% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.04% (

0.04)

42.96% (

-0.04)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.36% (

-0.03)

50.64% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.9% (

-0.02)

85.1% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Finland 66.71%

Estonia 12.44%

Draw 20.85%

Finland	Draw	Estonia
1-0 @ 14.29% 2-0 @ 13.68% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 66.71%	1-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.5% Total : 20.85%	0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 12.44%