Portugal national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Sweden national football team

Portugal
5 - 2
Sweden

Leao (24'), Nunes (33'), Fernandes (45'), Bruma (57'), Ramos (61')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Gyokeres (58'), Nilsson (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Portugal and Sweden, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for Thursday's international friendly clash with Sweden.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions
Last Game: Portugal 2-0 Iceland
Sunday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Sweden

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 2-1 Estonia
Friday, January 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 75.98%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 9.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a Sweden win it was 1-2 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
PortugalDrawSweden
75.98% (0.68899999999999 0.69)14.66% (-0.449 -0.45)9.35% (-0.2469 -0.25)
Both teams to score 52.55% (0.809 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.6% (1.493 1.49)32.4% (-1.501 -1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.97% (1.716 1.72)54.03% (-1.723 -1.72)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.93% (0.47300000000001 0.47)7.07% (-0.482 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.2% (1.254 1.25)25.79% (-1.261 -1.26)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.54% (0.58 0.58)43.45% (-0.587 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.33% (0.48 0.48)79.67% (-0.488 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Portugal 75.99%
    Sweden 9.35%
    Draw 14.66%
PortugalDrawSweden
2-0 @ 10.78% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-0 @ 9.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-0 @ 8.14% (-0.452 -0.45)
3-1 @ 7.94% (0.098 0.1)
4-0 @ 6.31% (0.134 0.13)
4-1 @ 5.26% (0.194 0.19)
5-0 @ 3.34% (0.152 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.093 0.09)
5-1 @ 2.79% (0.169 0.17)
4-2 @ 2.19% (0.115 0.12)
6-0 @ 1.48% (0.102 0.1)
6-1 @ 1.23% (0.103 0.1)
5-2 @ 1.16% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 75.99%
1-1 @ 6.78% (-0.262 -0.26)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.07% (-0.253 -0.25)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 14.66%
1-2 @ 2.83% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-1 @ 2.56% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-2 @ 1.07% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.04% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 9.35%

How you voted: Portugal vs Sweden

Portugal
75.2%
Draw
14.9%
Sweden
9.9%
101
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Portugal
3-0
Sweden
Silva (21'), Jota (44', 72')
Jota (52'), Fernandes (85')

Ekdal (36'), Olsson (57'), Jansson (62'), Andersson (72'), Berg (79')
> Preview
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Sweden
0-2
Portugal

Svensson (14'), Andersson (90')
Svensson (44')
Ronaldo (45+1', 72')
Guerreiro (57'), Felix (86')
> Preview
Mar 28, 2017 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Portugal
2-3
Sweden
Ronaldo (18'), Granqvist (34' og.)
Claesson (57', 76'), Cancelo (93' og.)
> Match Report
Nov 19, 2013 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Sweden
2-3
Portugal
> Match Report
Nov 15, 2013 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Portugal
1-0
Sweden
Ronaldo (82')
Pereira (42'), Ronaldo (77')

Larsson (71'), Elmander (78')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


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