International Friendlies
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Rafael Leao
24'
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Matheus Nunes
33'
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Bruno Fernandes
45'
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Bruma
57'
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Goncalo Ramos
61'
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Viktor Gyokeres
58'
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Gustaf Nilsson
90'
Portugal vs Sweden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 75.98%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 9.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a Sweden win it was 1-2 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
Result
Portugal
75.98%
▲
(+0.69)
Draw
14.66%
▼
(-0.45)
Sweden
9.35%
▼
(-0.25)
Both Teams to Score:
52.55%
▲
(+0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.6%
▲
(+1.50)
Under 2.5
32.4%
▼
(-1.51)
Over 3.5
45.97%
▲
(+1.72)
Under 3.5
54.03%
▼
(-1.73)
Over 4.5
27.13%
▲
(+1.48)
Under 4.5
72.86%
▼
(-1.49)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5
92.93%
▲
(+0.48)
Under 0.5
7.07%
▼
(-0.49)
Over 1.5
74.2%
▲
(+1.26)
Under 1.5
25.79%
▼
(-1.27)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5
56.54%
▲
(+0.58)
Under 0.5
43.45%
▼
(-0.59)
Over 1.5
20.33%
▲
(+0.49)
Under 1.5
79.67%
▼
(-0.49)
Score analysis
Portugal
75.99%
Draw
14.66%
Sweden
9.35%
Portugal
2-0
@
10.78%
▼
(-0.32)
3-0 @ 9.52% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.12)
1-0 @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.46)
3-1 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.14)
4-1 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.20)
5-0 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.16)
3-2 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.10)
5-1 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.17)
4-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.12)
6-0 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.11)
6-1 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.11)
5-2 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 75.99%
3-0 @ 9.52% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.12)
1-0 @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.46)
3-1 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.14)
4-1 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.20)
5-0 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.16)
3-2 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.10)
5-1 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.17)
4-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.12)
6-0 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.11)
6-1 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.11)
5-2 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 75.99%
Draw
1-1
@
6.78%
▼
(-0.27)
2-2 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 14.66%
2-2 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 14.66%
Sweden
1-2
@
2.83%
▼
(-0.07)
0-1 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 9.35%
0-1 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 9.35%
