/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fporlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ficelog.png)
-
Bruno Fernandes
37'
-
Joao Palhinha
54'
-
Ricardo Horta
66'
-
Joao Felix
84'
-
Isak Bergmann Johannesson
28'
-
Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson
32'
-
Willum Thor Willumsson
46'
-
Johann Berg Gudmundsson
54'
Portugal vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F46%2Fportugal.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F41%2Fportugal.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 74.36%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 10.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a Iceland win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Portugal in this match.
Result
Portugal
74.36%
▲
(+0.05)
Draw
15.5%
▼
(-0.02)
Iceland
10.15%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
52.48%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.94%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
34.06%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
44.06%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
55.94%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
25.5%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
74.5%
▲
(+0.01)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5
92.22%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
7.78%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
72.35%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
27.65%
▼
(-0.03)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5
56.91%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
43.09%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
20.63%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
79.37%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Portugal
74.36%
Draw
15.5%
Iceland
10.15%
Portugal
2-0
@
10.93%
▲
(+0.02)
3-0 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.83%
4-0 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 74.36%
3-0 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.83%
4-0 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 74.36%
Draw
1-1
@
7.21%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 15.5%
2-2 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 15.5%
Iceland
1-2
@
3.03%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 10.15%
0-1 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 10.15%