Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 61.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 16.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Slovenia win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Slovenia	Draw	Portugal
16.71% ( 0.07)	21.86% ( 0.01)	61.43% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 49.33% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.14% (

0.1)

47.86% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.96% (

0.09)

70.04% (

-0.09)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.09% (

0.15)

41.91% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.64% (

0.13)

78.36% (

-0.13)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.93% (

0.01)

15.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.41% (

0.01)

43.59% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Slovenia 16.71%

Portugal 61.43%

Draw 21.85%

Slovenia	Draw	Portugal
1-0 @ 5.49% 2-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 16.71%	1-1 @ 10.39% 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.85%	0-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 11.31% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.14% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.2% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 61.43%