/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fslolog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fporlog.png)
-
Erik Janza
17'
-
Petar Stojanovic
50'
-
Adam Gnezda Cerin
72'
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Timi Elsnik
80'
-
Joao Cancelo
50'
-
Francisco Conceicao
65'
Slovenia vs Portugal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F12%2Fportugal.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F12%2Fcristiano-ronaldo.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 61.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 16.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Slovenia win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result
Slovenia
16.71%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
21.86%
▲
(+0.01)
Portugal
61.43%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
49.33%
▲
(+0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.14%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 2.5
47.86%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
29.96%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
70.04%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 4.5
14.64%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 4.5
85.35%
▼
(-0.07)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5
58.09%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 0.5
41.91%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 1.5
21.64%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
78.36%
▼
(-0.14)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5
84.93%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
15.07%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
56.41%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
43.59%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Slovenia
16.71%
Draw
21.85%
Portugal
61.43%
Slovenia
1-0
@
5.49%
2-1 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 16.71%
2-1 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 16.71%
Draw
1-1
@
10.39%
0-0 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 21.85%
0-0 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 21.85%
Portugal
0-1
@
11.95%
▼
(-0.06)
0-2 @ 11.31% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 61.43%
0-2 @ 11.31% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 61.43%
Form Data
Build-up
News