Euro Champ Qualifying
Nov 20, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Stozice
  • Benjamin Sesko 41' goal
  • Benjamin Verbic 86' goal
  • Benjamin Verbic 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yan Vorogovskiy 40'
  • goal Ramazan Orazov 48'
  • yellowcard Islambek Kuat 61'
  • yellowcard Serhiy Maliy 79'
  • yellowcard Nuraly Alip 90'

Slovenia vs Kazakhstan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Nov 17, 2023 7.45pm
Denmark 2 - 1 Slovenia

Kazakhstan

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Nov 17, 2023 3.00pm
Kazakhstan 3 - 1 San Marino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 19.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.

Result

Slovenia 57.15% (+0.43)
Draw 23.84% (-0.19)
Kazakhstan 19.01% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.61% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.61% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 52.39% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 25.93% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 74.07% (-0.35)
Over 4.5 11.95% (+0.23)
Under 4.5 88.05% (-0.22)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5 81.85% (+0.31)
Under 0.5 18.14% (-0.31)
Over 1.5 50.89% (+0.53)
Under 1.5 49.11% (-0.53)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5 58.16% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 41.84% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 21.71% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 78.29% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Slovenia 57.13%
Draw 23.84%
Kazakhstan 19.01%
Slovenia
1-0 @ 12.95% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 11.05% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.64% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.29% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.48% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 2.68% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.39% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.34% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-98.79)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 57.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 7.59% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 4.2% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.84%
Kazakhstan
0-1 @ 6.61% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 4.92% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 19.01%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 23, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Maksim Samorodov 23' goal
  • goal David Brekalo 47'
  • goal Zan Vipotnik 78'