Euro Champ Qualifying
Kazakhstan
Nov 17, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Astana Arena
San Marino
  • Islam Chesnokov 19' goal
  • Islam Chesnokov 51' goal
  • Arman Kenesov 63' yellowcard
  • Temirlan Erlanov 88' yellowcard
  • Abat Aymbetov 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Marcello Mularoni 50'
  • goal Simone Franciosi 60'
  • yellowcard Filippo Fabbri 88'
  • yellowcard Samuel Pancotti 90'+1'

Kazakhstan vs San Marino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kazakhstan

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 17, 2023 5.00pm
Finland 1 - 2 Kazakhstan

San Marino

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
San Marino 1 - 2 Denmark

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 90.49%. A draw had a probability of 7.2% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 2.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.35%) and 4-0 (11.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.39%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (1.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kazakhstan would win this match.

Result

Kazakhstan 90.49% ▼ (-1.33)
Draw 7.21% ▲ (+0.94)
San Marino 2.29% ▲ (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

32.74% ▲ (+0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5 71.39% ▼ (-2.44)
Under 2.5 28.61% ▲ (+2.44)
Over 3.5 50.5% ▼ (-3.06)
Under 3.5 49.5% ▲ (+3.07)
Over 4.5 31.2% ▼ (-2.89)
Under 4.5 68.8% ▲ (+2.90)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5 96.24% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 0.5 3.76% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 1.5 83.9% ▼ (-1.92)
Under 1.5 16.1% ▲ (+1.92)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5 34.02% ▲ (+1.05)
Under 0.5 65.98% ▼ (-1.04)
Over 1.5 6.58% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 1.5 93.42% ▼ (-0.42)

Score analysis

Kazakhstan 90.49%
Draw 7.21%
San Marino 2.29%
Kazakhstan
3-0 @ 14.6% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 13.35% ▲ (+0.67)
4-0 @ 11.97% ▼ (-0.57)
1-0 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.78)
5-0 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.79)
3-1 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.25)
2-1 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.48)
4-1 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.05)
6-0 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.67)
5-1 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.20)
7-0 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.43)
6-1 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.20)
3-2 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 90.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.44)
0-0 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.35)
2-2 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 7.21%
San Marino
0-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-84.57)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 2.29%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
San Marino
Jun 16, 2023 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
Kazakhstan
  • goal Yan Vorogovskiy 37'
  • goal Askhat Tagybergen 64'
  • goal Baktiyor Zainutdinov 90'+5'
Euro Champ Qualifying
San Marino
Nov 16, 2019 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT
Kazakhstan
  • Mirko Palazzi 54' yellowcard
  • Marco Bernardi 77' goal
  • Davide Simoncini 85' yellowcard
  • Luca Ceccaroli 90' yellowcard
  • goal Bobyr Zaynutdinov 6'
  • goal Gafurzhan Suyumbayev 22'
  • goal Aleksey Shchetkin 26'
  • yellowcard Dmitriy Miroshnichenko 32'
  • yellowcard Askhat Tagybergen 45'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Kazakhstan
Jun 11, 2019 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
San Marino
  • Temirlan Yerlanov 31' yellowcard
  • Islambek Kuat 45' goal
  • Maxim Fedin 62' goal
  • Gafurzhan Suyumbayev 65' goal
  • Bauyrzhan Islamkhan 79' goal
  • Dmitri Shomko 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luca Censoni 48'
  • yellowcard Cristian Brolli 64'

Form Data

Finland 1 - 2 Kazakhstan
Denmark 3 - 1 Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan 1 - 0 N. Ireland
Kazakhstan 0 - 1 Finland
N. Ireland 0 - 1 Kazakhstan
San Marino 0 - 3 Kazakhstan
San Marino 1 - 2 Denmark
N. Ireland 3 - 0 San Marino
San Marino 0 - 4 Slovenia
Denmark 4 - 0 San Marino
Finland 6 - 0 San Marino
San Marino 0 - 3 Kazakhstan