Croatia vs North Macedonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 73.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 8.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.44%) and 3-0 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.