Montenegro national football team
Friendlies 2
Mar 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Pierre Sauvaigo
North Macedonia national football team

Montenegro
1 - 0
N. Macedonia

Jovetic (45')
Bakic (35'), Savic (36'), Krstovic (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Elmas (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Montenegro and North Macedonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Belarus 0-2 Montenegro
Thursday, March 21 at 5pm in International Friendlies

North Macedonia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: N. Macedonia 1-1 Moldova
Friday, March 22 at 2.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 68.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.21%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.

Result
MontenegroDrawNorth Macedonia
68.03% (1.814 1.81)19.86% (-0.828 -0.83)12.11% (-0.989 -0.99)
Both teams to score 44.03% (-0.326 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.25% (1.156 1.16)48.75% (-1.159 -1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.14% (1.042 1.04)70.85% (-1.044 -1.04)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.67% (0.908 0.91)13.32% (-0.911 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.82% (1.804 1.8)40.17% (-1.807 -1.81)
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.8% (-0.918 -0.92)49.2% (0.916 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.9% (-0.66 -0.66)84.09% (0.657 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Montenegro 68.02%
    North Macedonia 12.11%
    Draw 19.86%
MontenegroDrawNorth Macedonia
2-0 @ 13.31% (0.26 0.26)
1-0 @ 13.21% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-0 @ 8.95% (0.46 0.46)
3-1 @ 6.35% (0.167 0.17)
4-0 @ 4.51% (0.372 0.37)
4-1 @ 3.2% (0.186 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.82% (0.205 0.21)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.115 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 68.02%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.384 -0.38)
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.318 -0.32)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 19.86%
0-1 @ 4.65% (-0.354 -0.35)
1-2 @ 3.32% (-0.228 -0.23)
0-2 @ 1.65% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 12.11%

How you voted: Montenegro vs N. Macedonia

Montenegro
47.4%
Draw
28.9%
North Macedonia
23.7%
38