International Friendlies
Oct 12, 2023 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion Pod Goricom
  • Edvin Kuc 16' goal
  • Edvin Kuc 19' goal
  • Marko Vukcevic 58' yellowcard
  • Milutin Osmajic 69' goal
  • yellowcard Jihad Ayoub 45'+2'
  • goal Karim Darwiche 65'
  • goal Ali Tneich 80'
  • yellowcard Said Awada 81'

Montenegro vs Lebanon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions

Lebanon

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lebanon win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.

Result

Montenegro 31.46% (-0.24)
Draw 28.36% (-0.05)
Lebanon 40.17% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.05% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.9% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 60.1% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 19.69% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 80.31% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 8.16% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 91.84% (-0.05)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5 65.1% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 34.9% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 28.36% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 71.63% (+0.12)

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5 70.73% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 29.27% (-0.23)
Over 1.5 34.77% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 65.23% (-0.28)

Score analysis

Montenegro 31.46%
Draw 28.36%
Lebanon 40.16%
Montenegro
1-0 @ 10.75% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 31.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.21% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.21% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.27% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.36%
Lebanon
0-1 @ 12.54% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.12% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.71% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.32% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.16% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.75% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 40.16%