Montenegro national football team
Friendlies 2
Oct 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion Pod Goricom
Lebanon national football team

Montenegro
3 - 2
Lebanon

Kuc (16', 19'), Osmajic (69')
Vukcevic (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Darwiche (65'), Tneich (80')
Ayoub (45+2'), Awada (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Montenegro and Lebanon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Montenegro 2-1 Bulgaria
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Lebanon

Last Game: Lebanon 0-2 Oman
Monday, March 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lebanon win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.

Result
MontenegroDrawLebanon
31.46% (-0.235 -0.24)28.36% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)40.17% (0.286 0.29)
Both teams to score 46.05% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.9% (0.114 0.11)60.1% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.69% (0.087 0.09)80.31% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.1% (-0.114 -0.11)34.9% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.36% (-0.118 -0.12)71.63% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (0.22 0.22)29.27% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (0.269 0.27)65.23% (-0.27000000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Montenegro 31.46%
    Lebanon 40.16%
    Draw 28.36%
MontenegroDrawLebanon
1-0 @ 10.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 31.46%
1-1 @ 13.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.21% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.36%
0-1 @ 12.54% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.71% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 40.16%

How you voted: Montenegro vs Lebanon

Montenegro
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Lebanon
16.7%
18