Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

North Macedonia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tose Proeski Arena
England national football team

N. Macedonia
1 - 1
England

Bardhi (41')
Elmas (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Atanasov (59' og.)
Lewis (40'), Alexander-Arnold (56')

The Match

Match Report

England's Euro 2024 qualifying campaign ends with a 1-1 draw against North Macedonia as the Three Lions seal a place in Pot 1 for the group-stage draw.

Team News

Rico Lewis makes his England debut in their Euro 2024 qualifier against North Macedonia, while Ollie Watkins starts up front in place of Harry Kane.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between North Macedonia and England, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how England could line up in Monday's Euro 2024 qualification clash with North Macedonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

North Macedonia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Italy 5-2 N. Macedonia
Friday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

England

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: England 2-0 Malta
Friday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 19.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 1-0 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
North MacedoniaDrawEngland
19.89% (-1.119 -1.12)23.7% (-0.188 -0.19)56.41% (1.304 1.3)
Both teams to score 49.41% (-1.093 -1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.28% (-0.605 -0.61)50.71% (0.6 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (-0.537 -0.54)72.61% (0.533 0.53)
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.11% (-1.523 -1.52)39.89% (1.519 1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.45% (-1.427 -1.43)76.55% (1.423 1.42)
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.2% (0.255 0.25)17.8% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.48% (0.444 0.44)48.52% (-0.448 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    North Macedonia 19.89%
    England 56.4%
    Draw 23.7%
North MacedoniaDrawEngland
1-0 @ 6.53% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-1 @ 5.18% (-0.265 -0.27)
2-0 @ 3% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-1 @ 1.59% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 0.92% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 19.89%
1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.1% (0.171 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.19 -0.19)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 12.25% (0.4 0.4)
0-2 @ 10.57% (0.43 0.43)
1-2 @ 9.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 6.09% (0.295 0.3)
1-3 @ 5.59% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.63% (0.148 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.41% (0.039 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-5 @ 0.91% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 56.4%

How you voted: N. Macedonia vs England

North Macedonia
10.7%
Draw
13.1%
England
76.2%
84
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
England
7-0
N. Macedonia
Kane (29', 73' pen.), Saka (38', 47', 51'), Rashford (45'), Phillips (64')
Rice (41'), Phillips (77')

Bejtulai (72')
> Match Report