Euro Champ Qualifying
Serbia
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Rajko Mitic
Montenegro
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic 9' goal
  • Nemanja Gudelj 49' yellowcard
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic 74' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 77' goal
  • goal Stevan Jovetic 36'
  • yellowcard Stefan Savic 58'
  • yellowcard Vladimir Jovovic 88'
  • yellowcard Zarko Tomasevic 89'

Serbia vs Montenegro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Serbia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 14, 2023 7.45pm
Hungary 2 - 1 Serbia

Montenegro

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Sep 10, 2023 5.00pm
Montenegro 2 - 1 Bulgaria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Montenegro win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.

Result

Serbia 50.91% ▼ (-0.82)
Draw 25.69% ▲ (+0.17)
Montenegro 23.4% ▲ (+0.66)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.16% ▲ (+0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 54.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 23.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 76.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 10.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 89.29% ▲ (+0.02)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5 78.47% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 0.5 21.53% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 1.5 45.41% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 1.5 54.59% ▲ (+0.56)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5 61.38% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 0.5 38.63% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 1.5 24.63% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 1.5 75.37% ▼ (-0.57)

Score analysis

Serbia 50.91%
Draw 25.68%
Montenegro 23.4%
Serbia
1-0 @ 12.77% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.20)
2-1 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.16)
3-1 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 50.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.14% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.68%
Montenegro
0-1 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.14)
1-2 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 23.4%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Montenegro
Mar 27, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Serbia
  • goal Dusan Vlahovic 78'
  • goal Dusan Vlahovic 90'+5'
Nations League
Serbia
Nov 17, 2018 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Montenegro
  • Adem Ljajic 30' goal
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic 32' goal
  • Mijat Gacinovic 61' yellowcard
  • Nemanja Matic 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Mugosa 5'
  • yellowcard Marko Simic 36'
  • yellowcard Boris Kopitovic 47'
  • goal Stefan Mugosa 70'
  • yellowcard Marko Jankovic 76'
Nations League
Montenegro
Oct 11, 2018 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Serbia
  • Filip Stojkovic 18' yellowcard
  • Nikola Vukcevic 63' yellowcard
  • Marko Jankovic 77' yellowcard
  • goal Aleksandar Mitrovic 18'
  • yellowcard Sasa Lukic 31'
  • yellowcard Dusan Tadic 36'
  • goal Aleksandar Mitrovic 81'

Form Data

Hungary 2 - 1 Serbia
Lithuania 1 - 3 Serbia
Serbia 1 - 2 Hungary
Bulgaria 1 - 1 Serbia
Serbia 3 - 2 Jordan
Montenegro 0 - 2 Serbia
Montenegro 3 - 2 Lebanon
Montenegro 2 - 1 Bulgaria
Lithuania 2 - 2 Montenegro
Montenegro 1 - 4 Czech Republic
Montenegro 0 - 0 Hungary
Montenegro 0 - 2 Serbia