Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Puskas Arena (Budapest)
Hungary3 - 1Montenegro
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bulgaria 2-2 Hungary
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Serbia | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 8 | -6 | 6 |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 7 | -7 | 3 |
Last Game: Montenegro 2-0 Lithuania
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Serbia | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 8 | -6 | 6 |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 7 | -7 | 3 |
We said: Hungary 1-1 Montenegro
Perhaps taking their foot off the gas, Hungary may be restricted to a home draw in their final group fixture, having already sealed their spot at another Euros. By contrast, Montenegro must go all-out to take three points and hope that will prove enough for qualification; however, the plucky outsiders are set to come up short. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hungary | Draw | Montenegro |
45.71% ( 0.06) | 27.08% ( -0.04) | 27.21% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.55% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
