Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 48.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.48%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 1-0 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.