Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 16, 2023 at 5pm UK

Ludogorets Arena

Bulgaria
2 - 2
Hungary

Delev (24'), Despodov (78' pen.)
Antov (8'), Atanasov (81'), Kolev (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Adam (10'), Petkov (90+7' og.)
Botka (42'), Kerkez (44')
Kerkez (57')

The Match

Match Report

Hungary score a last-gasp equaliser against Bulgaria to seal a 2-2 draw which books their place at Euro 2024.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Bulgaria and Hungary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bulgaria

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Albania 2-0 Bulgaria
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	6	7	14
2	Serbia	7	6	13
3	Montenegro	6	-2	8
4	Lithuania	7	-4	6
5	Bulgaria	6	-7	2

Hungary

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Lithuania 2-2 Hungary
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	6	7	14
2	Serbia	7	6	13
3	Montenegro	6	-2	8
4	Lithuania	7	-4	6
5	Bulgaria	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 48.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 24.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.48%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 1-0 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Bulgaria	Draw	Hungary
24.77% ( -0.01)	26.4% ( -0.02)	48.83% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 47.53% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.77% (

0.05)

56.23% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.72% (

0.04)

77.27% (

-0.04)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.79% (

0.02)

38.21% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.03% (

0.02)

74.97% (

-0.02)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.92% (

0.03)

23.08% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.08% (

0.05)

56.92% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Bulgaria 24.77%

Hungary 48.82%

Draw 26.39%

Bulgaria	Draw	Hungary
1-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.98% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.08% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.59% Total : 24.77%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.39%	0-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.48% 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.63% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 48.82%