Albania vs Bulgaria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 49.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 23.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Albania would win this match.