Egypt national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Cairo International Stadium
Croatia national football team

Egypt
2 - 4
Croatia

Rabia (6'), Abdelmonem (90+4')
Rabia (27')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vlasic (21'), Petkovic (57'), Kramaric (77'), Majer (86')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Egypt and Croatia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Egypt 1-0 New Zealand
Friday, March 22 at 8pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Tunisia 0-0 Croatia (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, March 23 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Croatia win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
EgyptDrawCroatia
43.68% (0.119 0.12)27.85% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)28.47% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.19% (0.224 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.7% (0.29 0.29)59.3% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.3% (0.223 0.22)79.7% (-0.22 -0.22)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04% (0.19800000000001 0.2)26.96% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7% (0.257 0.26)62.3% (-0.255 -0.26)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.24% (0.135 0.13)36.76% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.45% (0.134 0.13)73.55% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Egypt 43.68%
    Croatia 28.47%
    Draw 27.85%
EgyptDrawCroatia
1-0 @ 12.99% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.52% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.51% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 3.72% (0.035 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 43.68%
1-1 @ 13% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.91% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 9.92% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.51% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.66%
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 28.47%

How you voted: Egypt vs Croatia

Egypt
47.1%
Draw
15.7%
Croatia
37.3%
51
rhs 2.0


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